Why Iran could not avenge Soleimani's murder?

 



Exactly one year later, Iran is once again mourning for General Qasem Soleimani. This is normal. He was the bright feather of the crown of Iran. 

But the ongoing mourning is also fueled by the rulers. These rulers have benefited immensely from Soleimani's campaign while he was alive. Now his death is being used as a cover for their failure.

Iran's leadership fails to provide security for its best children

Killing Soleimani was like throwing a spear into the heart of Iran. But Iran has not been able to avenge the killings. 

Without the inflammatory rhetoric, Khamenei-Rouhani has been able to inflict little damage on Iran's wounded ego. 

Since then, the country has lost another best-born nuclear scientist, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, to almost the same opponent.

 Soleimani was killed outside the country, while Fakhrizadeh himself was killed in Tehran. The first is Iran's main ground fighter; The second was the backbone of their nuclear strategy and missile science.

Such a well-thought-out "target" demonstrates the high level of discretion of Iran's enemies. These killings indicate the extreme ineffectiveness of Iran's security infrastructure. 

The June 30 sabotage at the Natanz nuclear plant could also be added to the list.




Soleimani and Fakhrizadeh were the declared targets of the opposition. While Soleimani could not be secured in Damascus or Baghdad, when Fakhrizadeh was assassinated in Tehran, the rulers were blamed for that failure. 

The Republican Guard directly controls them. But these rulers have been perfect for decades in suppressing the protests of democratic demands in the country. From students to environmentalists — no one was left out.


Does Iran have the power to take revenge?


The world knows who killed Soleimani or Fakhrizadeh in the media. The top echelons of the leadership have threatened their killers with "timely retaliation". 

Influenced media has also heard of the ‘eye for eye’ policy. Such provocative threats have been heard even after the loss of at least six nuclear scientists in the last decade. No murder was avenged. 

It is now questionable whether the country can retaliate. All the reactions of Iran's top leaders over the past year against the "opposition" were on paper. 

The so-called 'appropriate time' has not come before, nor has it come in the last 12 months. It is less likely to come soon. These threats are not getting more important now without the food of propaganda.

After Soleimani's death, several ineffective missiles were fired at US installations in Iraq. An arrest warrant has been issued in Tehran against 36 US officials for their alleged involvement in the killings. 

These do not seem to have military value outside of anti-American propaganda.

Iranian leaders have always blamed Israel-America-Saudi Arabia for killing their best citizens. It is difficult to fight alone against such a strong alliance. 

But inside the country, they have been able to weaken the guerrilla opponents like Mujahideen-e-Khalaq, which is also a harsh reality. But these organizations have a little public base.


After almost all the military catastrophes, Iran's leaders have called for "evil hands." The Iranians know who is being targeted. 

It would be wrong to think that Iran's failure to stop these losses reflects the invincible character of its enemy. 

The Israeli or American propaganda though continues to create such myths; In fact, these military catastrophes are a sign of the weakness of Iran's rulers. 

The Iranian rulers also have some responsibility for the fact that Israel is building myths around the world about its military capabilities and compotencies.

 In the name of defending the 'revolution', these rulers have appointed the entire state apparatus to monitor the people. Such a ‘state of surveillance’ gradually proves ineffective against an external enemy. 




Even if there is a religious veil, that decay cannot be hidden. The 'enemy-thoughts' of such a state are swallowed up by its people. The state changes into a sceptical entity. 

Who doesn't wear hijab or who has expressed dissatisfaction with the price of goods on Facebook, when the state spends a huge amount of public resources on these surveillances, when will it handle the international opposition? 

Iran has been suffering from this disease for a long time. So are many rulers in the Middle East. In many Muslim-majority countries, the masses were not allowed to be the foundation of state power. 

It has become their destiny to be repressed and suppressed under the guise of military bureaucracy. Israel took this opportunity.

There are many Israeli agents among the disgruntled citizens of almost all countries in the Middle East. 

They are used for assassination . Iran is losing its best children in their hands. Thus, in 2018, the Mossad, the famous Israeli intelligence agency, stole 5,000 pages of detailed documents on Iran's nuclear capabilities. 

These are, in a real sense, a reminder of lack of skill in traditional warfare. But Israel is strong in this 'power'. 

Israel is doing what the rulers of the Muslim-majority countries have failed to do. At the same time, it is a shame for Iran to say that dozens of Iranian "traitors" helped assassinate Fakhrizadeh. 

Iran has also said it has "identified" 48 people for their "suspicious" role in the assassination of Soleimani.

The way Iran "accidentally" shot down a Ukrainian plane last year was also a bad example of the dangerous incompetence of the administrators.

 Even at first, these administrators did not take adequate precautions to prevent the pandemic.

However, these rulers can and are blaming the US blockade for many crises. Such claims are also true. The United States has also barred Iran from borrowing from the IMF. All this suffering is only for the common people.

U.S. Iran policy has in no way created problems for the country's rulers. Their decision has changed little.


Although they have not been able to avenge the killings of Soleimani, Mahdi and Fakhrizadeh, the Iranian rulers are holding memorials to commemorate them. 

Through these multiple interests are being gained. First, the failure to stop their killings is being concealed. Again, the consciousness of being a martyr for the country is being formed among the youth.


Iran's policy is enhancing alliances between rival countries

Not only within the country but also the Iranian rulers have the opportunity to ask deep questions about the pros and cons of last year's foreign policy. 

This policy has increased the number of their enemies in the Middle East. Fear of Iran has played a role in the Middle East's eagerness to build friendships with Israel. 

Iran has taught the rulers of many Middle Eastern countries to come closer in the interests of survival, which at the same time is making Iran friendless. 

The deck of military cooperation with the Iranian opposition has increased a lot in the last year.

Under such circumstances, losing Soleimani, Iran is forced to adopt a defensive policy on all fronts. His allies in Lebanon and Iraq are under pressure. 

Lebanon's political crisis has also wiped out Hezbollah. There is public anger in Iraq over its pro-iranian government. 

Suleimani was killed along with Abu Mahdi, their most trusted commander in Iraq, whose void could not be filled.

The dead Suleimani is also a great asset to Iran's rulers


Although they have not been able to avenge the killings of Soleimani, Mahdi and Fakhrizadeh, the Iranian rulers are holding memorials to commemorate them.
Through this, more than one achievement is being achieved. 

First, the failure to stop their killings is being concealed. Again, the consciousness of being a martyr for the country is being formed among the youth. 

This strategy fits in well with the "Karbala theme". Iranian leaders have repeatedly said, "We are a nation of martyrs." 

This has the potential to provide human resources on all fronts, including Syria and Iraq. The question of how the country is going or will continue is also a temporary relief.

However, despite the absence of Soleimani on the field, Iran did not leave any allies. His current stagnation is mainly due to the lack of dollars and currency.

 It takes time to find a worthy successor to this late General. They have not been able to do that in the last year.

In the words of Hamid Dabshi, a professor of Iran studies at Columbia University in the United States, "It is impossible to keep the country in the long run by killing a couple of Soleimani or Fakhrizadeh." 

Mathematicians and physicists like Maryam Mirzakhani abound in the country. Such a nation cannot be suppressed by covert attacks or some missiles. '


The only thing that has been a beacon of hope for Iran in the outgoing year has been the White House turnaround.

 Biden will not be like Trump, at least he will maintain Obama's position - this is what Tehran hopes. 

That is why there is no time for Iran to avenge Soleimani's assassination. Tehran is in a kind of diplomatic trap. 

Israel's aggressive behaviour has to be digested in the hope of a more flexible US policy. The Iranians may have to be more patient to change US policy. 

That is also in the interest of understanding with Tel Aviv.
However, it is not unknown to all the opponents of the country, including Israel, that Iran is an indomitable and talented nation.

 Millions of young people are growing up there with talent and patriotism.

 In the words of Hamid Dabshi, a professor of Iran studies at Columbia University in the United States, "It is impossible to keep the country in the long run by killing one or two Solaimani or Fakhrizadeh." 

"Mathematicians and physicists like Maryam Mirzakhani abound in the country. Such a nation cannot be suppressed by covert attacks or missiles. '

But to protect such talented people in building a country, Iran needs a radical reform of the state apparatus. 

All the 'revolutions' gradually became the rule of a few people if the collective dream of the common people could not be built in one garland. The very next year, four decades after the revolution (1979-2019), sent that message to Iran.




To win against ‘evil forces’, any country must first allow its people to be victorious.

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