What is the future of Hamas?


 They are running towards Israel which is Led by Mohammed bin Salman and Crown Prince bin Zayed of the UAE. And from behind, Trump and his son-in-law Kushner has a role. 

Kushner is called the "Lawrence of Arabia" in modern times. After Bahrain and Sudan, Morocco is the last to join the party. 

They have accepted the Israeli occupation, abandoning the tradition of ancestral resistance. 

They have left the Palestinians. However, Hamas has announced that it will continue its resistance against these countries and Israel in an organized manner. 

Hamas, like other Arab countries, has refused to recognize Israel.


In the late Soviet era, Yasser Arafat left the struggle and walked the path of negotiation. Well-known theorists like Akbar Hossain and Edward Saeed then took a stand against this discussion. 

Because of Arafat's war fatigue and the chaotic nature of the movement as a whole, Edward Saeed and others did not see the possibility of coming to the negotiating table with the highly organized Western states. But Arafat did not listen to Saeed. 

The defeat of the Palestinians has not stopped. The hatred of the "Arab states" and the unwavering support of the Western world, especially the United States and the British, for Israel, has pushed the plight of the Palestinians to the brink of death.

Predicting the future of Arafat's talks, Fatah left a group of activists whose efforts led to the formalization of Hamas in Gaza in collaboration with the then Muslim Brotherhood in the aftermath of the first intifada in 1967. 

The anti-colonial movement was divided by the declaration. Fatah and Hamas never reconciled; Rather the separation has matured. In the 2008 election, Hamas capitalized on resistance against Israel and defeated Arafat's Fatah in the election. 

Out of 132 seats in the election, Hamas won 76 and Fatah 43 seats. One year after the formation of the Hamas government, President Mahmoud Abbas fired the Hamas government on the advice of Condoleezza Rice, one of the leaders in the US-led war on terror.

Due to the blockade since 2007, Gaza has become the world's largest open prison, with about 2 million people without access to safe drinking water, food, education and medical care. 

But Israel did not stop. Israel's war has not stopped. The funeral did not stop. But Hamas has changed in the last 10 years. 

The United States has distanced itself from other "terrorist" organizations, including the Muslim Brotherhood. 

But the results did not match. The block was not lifted. But this time, the Saudi-Israeli-US bloc has seized the opportunity to overthrow Hamas. 

Just as the Saudi bloc has established bilateral relations with Israel under the pretext of claiming an "independent Palestine", so the Hamas is the only obstacle to an "independent Palestinian state" shortly. Political analysts have been fearing this possible situation for several years.

This situation is being created in two possible ways. First, to deactivate Hamas in the Persian Gulf, including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Egypt. 

According to Al-Jazeera, the plan has led to the arrest of thousands of Hamas operatives in the past few years, who are the main source of Hamas money. Second, the appointment of Mohammad Dahlan as Fatah's chief.

 Abbas has been in control of Fatah since Arafat passed away.

 But in recent times, Abu Mazen has been a source of frustration for the Saudis, as he declared that Trump's "Century Agreement"  is illegal and opposed the Arabs'  establishment of bilateral relations with Israel. 

As a result, the West wants Dahlan to lead Fatah in the post-Abbas period. Dahlan was once a comrade-in-arms of Yasser Arafat. But with the blessings of the United States, Dahlan is currently living in an air-conditioned house in the United Arab Emirates and working as an adviser to the Crown Prince.

In this difficult situation, several paths will remain open for Hamas.

First, to enter into a peace treaty with Fatah. The Saudi bloc will be the first to raise the issue of the peace deal. 

Under Dahlan, such an agreement would mean accepting the Israeli occupation and being trapped within the drawn lines of Israel, which has been conquered for almost three decades. 

The result is zero. A large part of the West Bank, Ramallah and Nablus are gradually occupied by Israel.

Second, if the first and only condition is not met, Hamas will face open political and economic blockade in the Saudi belt. This blockade has existed for a short period. 

If the blockade is fully activated and power shifts in Ankara, it will not be possible for Doha alone to sustain Hamas. 

Hamas will then be forced to turn to Iran, which will fully legitimize the Saudi-Israeli attack.

Third, continue the movement. Probably the most difficult thing Hamas will do. But the humanitarian crisis in Gaza caused by the Israeli blockade for more than a decade will not be comfortable for Hamas's long-term movement. 

And the opponent of this movement will not be Israel, but Fatah and the Saudi bloc. Therefore, Hamas must gain the full support of the people of Gaza. 

It is more likely that the outcome of this war will not go to Hamas.
The US-Israel bloc has gradually uprooted almost all anti-occupation movements. It all started with persuading Yasser Arafat to negotiate. Then Fatah left the struggle.

 Now the Arabs are recognizing Israel in groups to sustain themselves. All that remained was Hamas.

 Ideological movements are not destroyed ever. However, the possibility of the resurrection at any time can be weakened. 


The Palestinian struggle for the last one and a half centuries and the fortune of the future anti-colonial movement in the Middle East are depending on the survival of Hamas against this powerful wave of the US-Israel-Saudi belt.

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