Will autocracy of Lukashenko survive in Belarus?

The effect of coronavirus has not yet receded. Meanwhile, European country, Belarus is confronting a troublesome situation. Thousands of people are protesting against President Alexander Lukashenko.

The situation is so bizarre that the question arises, will Lukashenko, who is known as the dictator of Europe, overcome lastly?

Beginging of the chaos

Belarus is not far from Russia. As a result, the influence of the Russian government on Belarus is constant. Besides, Belarus was previously part of the former Soviet Union. And it became known as an independent country after the fall of the Soviet Union.

Alexander Lukashenko has been President of Belarus since 1994, after the collapse of the Soviet Union. He came to power with a vow to implement the good policies of the defunct Soviet Union.

Lukashenko has been accused of seizing all power since joining office. Hence, he has already received the title of the last dictator of Europe.
Will autocracy of Lukashenko survive in Belarus?

The allegations against Lukashenko have escalated into violent protests. The root of the protest is the general election which was held last August. After the election of 9 th August, Alexander Lukashenko declared as the winner with 60.1 percent of the vote.

 But opponents are reluctant to accept this victory. They claim that there has been a huge conspiracy in this election. An independent poll showed Lukashenko receiving 40 percent of the vote.


His rival, Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, received about 48 percent of the vote.
Opposition groups called for Alexander Lukashenko to step down. In response, the world is witnessing the largest protests in Belarus's history.


Favour of Russia

The situation is further exacerbated by Lukashenko's use of force to quell protests. Moreover, the Belarusian president has ridiculed protesters as "rats." Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin has stated that he is in favor of Lukashenko.


Putin has announced that he is willing to provide military assistance if needed.
A Russian security force is ready to intervene in independent and sovereign Belarus if it will be necessary. According to an analysis in the British magazine 'The Economist', Belarus is heavily dependent on low-cost Russian oil and gas supplies.

 Russia wants to use this dependence to control Belarus. That is why Vladimir Putin is not hesitant to send troops to other countries.
Will autocracy of Lukashenko survive in Belarus?

According to an article in the 'Washington Post', Lukashenko has been committing what dictators have done for so long. Now he wants to stifle the protests through force and violence. Lukashenko expects to stay in power by any means.

But the crisis is that there is a rift within Lukashenko's administration. The state media usually broadcast the news of the alleged success of the dictators.

But this time many state media workers have also been seen coming to the streets.
As much as Russia has spoken out in support of the Belarusian president, Western powers have spoken out against it. The European Union (EU) says it is ready to impose new embargoes on Belarus.

The EU has also opposed the use of troops by Alexander Lukashenko to suppress dissent.In a word, the Western countries of the European Union have taken an anti-Lukashenko stance. They prefer national dialogue between all parties. Surprisingly, however, America is extensively silent on the subject.


Silence of US

US President Donald Trump did not make any sharp statement about this. Meanwhile, regional politics is heating up in Belarus. In a recent interview with 'Euronews', Volodymyr Zelensky, president of neighboring Ukraine, said new elections should be held in Belarus shortly.

If Lukashenko truly won by a large number of votes in the election, why is he frightened of holding a new election? According to the Financial Times, Belarus continues to witness state protests around the world. In 2019, even this year, mass protests have been seen in different countries of the world. Protests have been seen from Hong Kong to Lebanon, and even to the United States.


From rich to poor, democratic or dictatorial — no country is invulnerable from protests.
Will autocracy of Lukashenko survive in Belarus?

According to an analysis by Slate Magazine, the opposition is trying to increase pressure on Alexander Lukashenko by staging labor strikes and street protests.

Lukashenko, on the other hand, wants to use Putin's help to suppress Soviet-style protests. The country could be further damaged in this conflict.

According to the Belarusian news agency Belta, Lukashenko does not want to be flexible despite the immense pressure inside and outside the country. The president, who has been in power for 26 years, recently rehearsed in front of a camera with a weapon.

He wishes to talk about the constitutional modification of the country only with the workers and student organizations. However, Lukashenko refused to make any settlements to Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, the main opposition candidate in the presidential election.


However, the British media, The Guardian, was unwilling to call the Belarussian protests "pro-Western." An analysis published in the media explained that the pro-Western protests that began in different countries in the post-Soviet period did not take place in Belarus.


The protests were not sparked by rivalries between Russia and the West. Behind this, the main reason is instability with the change of power. So the results may be distinct.

In Belarus, President Lukashenko and his opponents both sides are becoming reckless day by day. It seems that the protesters will not leave the path without overthrowing the 'dictator'. Whether Lukashenko will survive at all, will be known in time.

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