How nasty would the forthcoming US election be?

Donald Trump's presidency has already shrouded the democratic institutions of the United States. This time the last nail in the coffin is being hammered by questioning the electoral system of the country.

Everyone is concentrating now on next November. Suspicions about the election of 3rd November have begun to swirl in the air. The fear is not that the upcoming election will turn out to be nasty. Rather, the question is how nasty it would be.


The ongoing unrest in the United States, Donald Trump's political leanings and the resulting divisions for different reasons in US society have raised fears about the 3rd November election. Supporters of President Donald Trump have squabbled with Black Lives Matter activists in Portland, Oregon, etc. Meanwhile, the president flew to Wisconsin, the violence-ridden state, just to take a picture of himself in front of a burning building, so that it could be used in the election campaign. 


Instead of trying to stop the violence, he is committing everything he can do to ignite it. He is trying to fuel this violent situation to get the benefit for his election campaign.

-President Donald Trump has made the US electoral system controversial
-Doubts are growing whether the defeated candidate will accept the election results.
- Trump wants to take advantage of the situation by inciting violence
-The problem is growing as the election approaches.

The president's position has left many Americans worried about the forthcoming election. Many feel that a nasty election will be held next November, that the United States has never seen before. There are good reasons for such concerns.

The history of the US election says that the US presidential candidate of 1986, Bobby Kennedy, was assassinated. Earlier, in 1912, Teddy Roosevelt, a candidate, was shot dead while addressing a rally in Wisconsin. We don't have to go too far back, let's look at the election of 2000.

At that time, candidates had to go to the court to get the result of the election. But in all cases, the defeated party agreed to the final result of the election.
Even during the Civil War, the United States was able to keep this feature of their election intact. This is what sets the US election system unique apart from other countries. But this time there is a risk of deviation in this very place.

In a democratic system, elections are the way to transfer power peacefully. And this peaceful transfer of power is possible only when the defeated candidate and his supporters accept their doom. Political leaders, parties and various democratic institutions have to work on this issue simultaneously. 

Such a system is formed through the joint efforts of all, where there is no concern about the peaceful transfer of power.
If there is a crisis over the outcome of an election, there is always an alternative way to solve it. 

For instance, in 2008, Silvio Berlusconi lost the Italian election by a narrow margin. Without any evidence, he made allegations of massive vote fraud. The circumstance was later unravelled through the court. Berlusconi lost and accepted the defeat. The US presidential election of 2000 has already been mentioned above. At that time, the defeated candidate Al Gore acknowledged the verdict of the Supreme Court. In each of cases, they have defeated after the tough competition and gone to the apex court to resolve the issue. Through this, Italy and the United States found a way to move forward without keeping the crisis alive.

This is exactly the reason for the apprehension about the upcoming US election. As before, if the election results will be very close, there might be a chance of danger of a terrible crisis. The narrower the gap between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in the election, the greater the crisis will be.

Most of the Democrats recognize Donald Trump as a threat to democracy with logical explanations. His re-election could drive many of them insane. On the other hand, the acceptance of Donald Trump in his own party is still 87 per cent.

As a result, if he loses, most of the Republicans will guess that their speculation was accurate that they have been made before the election. That's why Donald Trump himself repeatedly speaks of possible vote fraud. Hence, there is a risk of further instability and escalation of violence. As a result, Joe Biden is under pressure to win by a substantial margin in order to sustain credibility.
The US electoral system is different from other countries. 

Democrats and Republicans have a bunch of responsibility to oversee the whole thing, rather than an independent election commission. Both the parties decide on the issues like updating the voter list, type of ballot paper, location of the polling station, whether advance voting will be taken, how many votes will be taken by post etc.

 In other countries, such matters are fixed by non-partisan commissions. If the gap of the vote is short, all this will be completely messed up.

Certainly, the matter will then go to the court, where again there are judges, who are loyally considered either Democrats or Republican presidents or governors. Let's talk about the postal vote, which President Donald Trump has been trying to limit and controversial for a long time. 

Although he himself has been voting by post for many years. Regarding the reality of the COVID-19 epidemic, the issue of postal voting is getting the most important in this election. But President Trump took steps to reduce the postal budget allocation at this time. He emphasises on vote fraud without any evidence. 

Even North Carolina has recently issued an unexpected call to voters to vote twice to test whether the electoral system works. It can be said that his negative propaganda and steps are also very effective. In the meantime, there have been doubts about the postal vote.

Besides, there are more difficulties. It usually takes more time to count the votes received by post. Due to the Corona situation, a large number of voters in many states have applied to vote by post. This will delay the delivery of results. Now suppose, Trump is ahead in any important state,
the result of the postal vote may not have been announced yet. According to previous experiences, Donald Trump's temperament says he can declare himself the winner in this situation, as he did in the midterm elections in Florida of 2018.

Because, after counting all the votes, if it is seen that Joe Biden has won in the state, then Donald Trump and his supporters will not want to accept it. If Trump wins again, will Biden's supporters accept?

 The situation is not like the election of 2000. The crisis in the United States says that neither the leaders nor the supporters of the two parties would want to concede defeat in such a situation. It would not be a surprise if such a situation spreads across the country in the wake of Covid-19, economic woes, political and social instability and divisive politics. 

The issue of Russian interference in the elections of 2016, reinforces the existing scepticism in the US public about the upcoming elections. If Donald Trump wins the Electoral College vote just like in 2016, most Democrats will not accept his presidency. 

And if Donald Trump is defeated, a large section of Republican supporters will think that there has been a massive fraud, as the president has said before.


Donald Trump's attempt to give emphasis to the COVID-19 and delay the upcoming election, which has so far been controversial, could have dire consequences. Large-scale violence could erupt after the election results are released in November, which will be the rarest in U.S. history. 

Democrats, including the House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, expressed fears of foreign interference in the election in a letter last July.

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